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Harold Pollack is a professor at the University of Chicago School of Social Service Administration and Special Correspondent for The Treatment.
At a low moment of the Second World War, a breathless young aide barged in on Winston Churchill to report some bad news. Showing the aplomb one fully achieves only within the pages of one’s own memoir, Churchill quotes himself responding: “I’ve heard worse.” That’s the resilience Democrats need.
Treatment readers already know that many health policy experts across the political spectrum support House passage of the Senate bill, with an accompanying fix of the bills various shortcomings through the reconciliation process. Like Paul Krugman, Jonathan Cohn, Ezra Klein, and Jacob Hacker, Tim Jost and I very much agree that this is the best approach.
Yesterday, Tim and I crafted a simple letter (shown below), which we emailed other health policy experts we know. Some are progressives who identify with a single-payer approach. Others are more politically moderate economists, sociologists, and political scientists. Still others identify with organized labor, medicine, or public health.
Within several hours, many outstanding scholars, activists, and practitioners signed on. Signers include Henry Aaron, David Cutler, Jon Gruber, Theda Skocpol, Paul Starr, and many others, including Anna Burger, Secretary-Treasurer of SEIU.
Some people we contacted could not sign on, but reported that they are seeking the same goal through more private means. Virtually no one we contacted disagreed with this letter on either political or policy grounds. Our letter represents a broad consensus of those supporting health care reform.
We are so close to enacting a historic reform. Now is the time for calm and resolute Congressional action. The Massachusetts election was a setback. Democrats still have large majorities in both the Senate and the House. We’ve heard worse. It’s time to act.
22 January 2010
Congresswoman Nancy Pelosi
Speaker of the House of Representatives
235 Cannon House Office Building
Washington, DC 20515
Congressman Charles Rangel
Committee on Ways & Means
U.S. House of Representatives
1102 Longworth House Office Building
Washington D.C. 20515
Congressman Henry A. Waxman
Committee on Energy and Commerce
2204 Rayburn House Office Building
Washington, D.C. 20515
Congressman George Miller
Committee on Education and Labor
2205 Rayburn House Office Building
Washington, DC 20515
Dear Speaker Pelosi and Chairmen Rangel, Waxman, and Miller:
For nearly three-quarters of a century, Presidents and Congressional leaders have tried to enact legislation that would make health care accessible to Americans. Although pieces of this dream have been realized—health care for the elderly, the disabled, and children in low-income families—universal coverage itself has proved beyond reach.
We are now on the cusp of realizing this goal. Both houses of Congress have adopted legislation that would provide health coverage to tens of millions of Americans, begin to control health care costs that seriously threaten our economy, and improve the quality of health care for every American. These bills are imperfect. Yet they represent a huge step forward in creating a more humane, effective, and sustainable health care system for every American.
We have come further than we have ever come before. Only two steps remain. The House must adopt the Senate bill, and the President must sign it.
While the House and Senate bills differ on specific points, they are built on the same framework and common elements—eliminating health status underwriting and insurance abuses, creating functioning insurance markets, offering affordability credits to those who cannot afford health insurance, requiring that all Americans act responsibly and purchase health insurance if they are able to do so, expanding Medicaid to cover all poor Americans, reforming Medicare payment to encourage quality and control costs, strengthening the primary care workforce, and encouraging prevention and wellness.
Some differences between the bills, such as the scope of the tax on high-cost plans and the allocation of premium subsidies, should be repaired through the reconciliation process. Key elements of this repair enjoy broad support in both houses. Other limitations of the Senate bill can be addressed through other means.
The Senate bill accomplishes most of what both houses of Congress set out to do; it would largely realize the goals many Americans across the political spectrum espouse in achieving near universal coverage and real delivery reform.
With the loss of Edward Kennedy’s Senate seat, Democrats no longer enjoy a filibuster-proof Senate majority, though they still enjoy the largest Senate majority any party has achieved in the past generation. The loss of this one vote does not require Congress or the President to abandon Senator Kennedy’s life work of health care reform. A year of political infighting, misleading debates about death panels and socialized medicine, and sheer inaction has left Americans exhausted, confused, and disgruntled. Americans are also bearing the severe consequences of deep recession and unemployment. Still, a majority of Americans support the elements of the Senate bill.
The House of Representatives faces a stark choice. It can enact the Senate bill, and realize the century-old dream of health care reform. By doing so, it can achieve a historic milestone while freeing itself to address other national problems such as joblessness and mortgage foreclosure that affect millions of Americans. Differences between the House and Senate bill can be negotiated through the reconciliation process.
Alternatively, Congress can abandon this effort at this critical moment, leaving millions more Americans to become uninsured in the coming years as health care becomes ever less affordable. Abandoning health care reform—the signature political issue of this administration—would send a message that Democrats are incapable of governing and lead to massive losses in the 2010 election, possibly even in 2012. Such a retreat would also abandon the chance to achieve reforms that millions of Americans across the political spectrum desperately need in these difficult times. Now is the moment for calm and resolute leadership, pressing on toward the goal now within sight.
Some have proposed dividing the bill or starting anew with negotiations to produce a less comprehensive bill. From the perspective of both politics and policy, we do not believe this is a feasible option. We doubt that the American public would welcome more months of partisan wrangling and debate. We doubt that the final product would match what has already been achieved. Indeed we doubt that any bill would reach the President’s desk should congressional leaders pursue this misguided course.
We, the signatories of this letter, come from a variety of different perspectives. Some of us are long-standing advocates of progressive causes. Some of us are nonpartisan or identify as political moderates.
From these differing perspectives, we agree on one thing: the current choice is clear. Pass the Senate bill, and improve it through reconciliation.
Sincerely,
Henry J. Aaron, The Brookings Institution
Gerard Anderson, Johns Hopkins University
Ronald Anderson, UCLA
Dean Baker, Center for Economic and Policy Research
Ronald Bayer, Columbia University
Anna Burger, Secretary-Treasurer, SEIU
David Cutler, Harvard University
Linda C. Degutis, Yale University
Judith Feder, Georgetown University
Eric Feldman, University of Pennsylvania
Thomas Fisher, University of Chicago
Brian R. Flay, Oregon State University
David Grande, University of Pennsylvania
Thomas Greaney, St. Louis University
Colleen Grogan, University of Chicago
Jon Gruber, MIT
Mark A. Hall, Wake Forest University
Jacob S. Hacker, Yale University
Jill Horwitz, University of Michigan
James S. House, University of Michigan
Peter Jacobson, University of Michigan
Timothy Jost, Washington and Lee University (organizer)
Theodore Joyce, CUNY
George A. Kaplan, University of Michigan
Jerome Karabel, University of California at Berkeley
Mark A.R.. Kleiman, UCLA
Paula M. Lantz, University of Michigan
Simon Lazarus, NSCLC
Arleen A. Leibowitz, UCLA
Theodore Marmor, Yale University
Lynda Martin-McCormick, NSCLC
Michael L. Millenson, Northwestern University
James A. Morone, Brown University
Len Nichols, New America Foundation
Jonathan Oberlander, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill
Mark A. Peterson, UCLA
Karen Pollitz, Georgetown University
Harold Pollack, University of Chicago (organizer)
Daniel Polsky, University of Pennsylvania
Sara Rosenbaum, George Washington University
Meredith Rosenthal, Harvard University
Lainie Friedman Ross, University of Chicago
William Sage, University of Texas
Theda Skocpol, Harvard University
Paul Starr, Princeton University
Donald H. Taylor, Jr., Duke University
William Terry, Brigham and Women's Hospital
James A. Tulsky, Duke University
Alexander C. Wagenaar, University of Florida
Joseph White, Case Western Reserve University
Celia Wcislo, 1199-United Healthcare Workers East, SEIU
(Institutional affiliations listed for identification only).
cc. Senator Harry Reid
President Barack Obama
COMMENTS (19)
This is the way forward. We have lemons so we make lemonade, then lemon tart and then work backwards to the full dinner. Much better than starving.
Message to Speaker Pelosi: read your mail or prepare to turn over the gavel!
This is the way forward. We have lemons so we make lemonade, then lemon tart and then work backwards to the full dinner. Much better than starving.
Message to Speaker Pelosi: read your mail or prepare to turn over the gavel!
I like it, but why does a little over 20% of this list come from 2 schools (Chicago + Michigan)? I think the Chinese hacked into some email solicitations for this letter in order to keep America at a competitive disadvantage, that's what I think!
I like it, but why does a little over 20% of this list come from 2 schools (Chicago + Michigan)? I think the Chinese hacked into some email solicitations for this letter in order to keep America at a competitive disadvantage, that's what I think!
Why is it that it is always the Progressives like Pelosi that must give in and not improve policies --- or Democrats face disaster?
Why is it that it is always the Progressives like Pelosi that must give in and not improve policies --- or Democrats face disaster?
Because politics is the art of the possible, not the art of perfection.
Enact something that gets a lot of what you want, and live for another day to improve it.
Because politics is the art of the possible, not the art of perfection.
Enact something that gets a lot of what you want, and live for another day to improve it.
Bravo bravo bravo. Can this letter be opened as a petition for ordinary citizens to sign? It would fill a void left by MoveOn, BoldProgressives, etc., which are all in la-la-land, pushing fantasies that Democrats can somehow now be pressured to go for the full Monty - strong public option, more generous subsidies, no excise tax...as if the House is now dealing with a Senate more inclined to give the party's liberal wing what it wants instead of one empowered to block any bill other than the one they just passed, and as if their majority is not on the brink of being blown to pieces.
Bravo bravo bravo. Can this letter be opened as a petition for ordinary citizens to sign? It would fill a void left by MoveOn, BoldProgressives, etc., which are all in la-la-land, pushing fantasies that Democrats can somehow now be pressured to go for the full Monty - strong public option, more generous subsidies, no excise tax...as if the House is now dealing with a Senate more inclined to give the party's liberal wing what it wants instead of one empowered to block any bill other than the one they just passed, and as if their majority is not on the brink of being blown to pieces.
I hate to tell you this, but there's this super-secret arcane rule in the House that requires 218 votes to pass legislation. I guess you must have thought that Nancy Antoinette was just being churlish in not passing the Senate bill.
I hate to tell you this, but there's this super-secret arcane rule in the House that requires 218 votes to pass legislation. I guess you must have thought that Nancy Antoinette was just being churlish in not passing the Senate bill.
If 218 Democrats can't be made to see that passing the Senate bill is in their own and their party's best interest, they deserve everything that's coming to them.
And what's coming will not be good for them, for individual liberty, or for the continuation of the Republic.
If 218 Democrats can't be made to see that passing the Senate bill is in their own and their party's best interest, they deserve everything that's coming to them.
And what's coming will not be good for them, for individual liberty, or for the continuation of the Republic.
DISCHARGE PETITION -- aren't these no longer secret? Have someone introduce the senate bill, then a discharge petition: let's see if the Dems have the guts to publicly kill the senate bill on the record.
DISCHARGE PETITION -- aren't these no longer secret? Have someone introduce the senate bill, then a discharge petition: let's see if the Dems have the guts to publicly kill the senate bill on the record.
For the uninitiated in the virtual, alternative reality of academic health policy, this list of signatories represents the usuall suspects who are all well known advocates for governmental run health care. Aaron, Cutler, Grubner, Skopol et.al. are certainly well respected academics, but their opinions and beliefs represent a range that is as broad as the differences between Henry Waxman and Pete Stark. In Washington D.C. this letter will be rapidly filed in the waste basket.
Many of these experts are economists so I would ask them: have you read the various Actuarial Memorandum produced the Rick Foster and his team of actuaries at CMS. These are available at the CMS web site. These doc ... view full comment
For the uninitiated in the virtual, alternative reality of academic health policy, this list of signatories represents the usuall suspects who are all well known advocates for governmental run health care. Aaron, Cutler, Grubner, Skopol et.al. are certainly well respected academics, but their opinions and beliefs represent a range that is as broad as the differences between Henry Waxman and Pete Stark. In Washington D.C. this letter will be rapidly filed in the waste basket.
Many of these experts are economists so I would ask them: have you read the various Actuarial Memorandum produced the Rick Foster and his team of actuaries at CMS. These are available at the CMS web site. These documents are the only objective expert analysis of the House and Senate bills. They deconstruct the bills and show that from both a budgetary and policy point of view that the bills are built on a foundation of quicksand that will rapidly crumble in the out years. The Medicare cuts are totally unrealistic and unsustainable and would be rapidly repealed. The tax on high end plans already looks like a piece of swiss cheese. With union contracts and state/country workers excluded to 2017 added to the multiple exclusions already in the tax, it has become joke with the scorable savings reduced from 250 to probably about 75 billion over ten years. However, the BIGGEST LIE in the bill was the backloading of the entitlement to 2014. This hid a true 10 year score of the entitlement (Medicaid and the premium and cost sharing subsidies) which is probably about 2 trillion over a true 10 year window. The next BIGGEST LIE is the so called bending of the growth curve. As Rick Foster and the CMS actuaries have shown it is bent but in the WRONG DIRECTION -- it goes rapidly up. Why -- Because as every one of signers of this letter knows there is absolutely no cost containment in the bill that CBO and CMS would score as saving any funds. Finally, the new long term care benefit has been identified by both CMS actuaries and the American Academy of Actuaries as a PONZI SCHEME. It produces scorable savings in the first five years because there cannot be any payouts for 5 years. Again in the out years it will be another bomb in the Federal budget.
Why are all these individuals having a nervious breakdown now? It is not about health policy. It is 1000% about the Federal budget -- It is about locking in the entitlements and the trillion dollars into Federal law. The fact that the Senate bill is poorly structure, full of gimicks and deals, and contains probably the single most discriminatory provision directed toward low income individuals -- the free rider provision (Greenstein has written several critiques of this provision at the Center for Budget Priorities) is meaningless to this group of academics because it is only about locking in the funds and the entitlement. Plus it would mean thousands of new jobs for their students and many, many, many new conferences and speaking engagements for these individuals. Certainly, one of these signers could be the first health insurance czar at the new agency.
Lawphd
Great post! I love the title of Cohn's article. "47 Experts." Give me a break. "47 Academics" would have been closer to the truth. "47 Partisan Hacks" would have been spot on. "47 Samurai" (without the honor bit) would describe the disemboweled remains of professional credibility that the group has squandered on this sham of reform.
Lucky the voters in Massachusetts are smarter than the "experts."
Lawphd
Great post! I love the title of Cohn's article. "47 Experts." Give me a break. "47 Academics" would have been closer to the truth. "47 Partisan Hacks" would have been spot on. "47 Samurai" (without the honor bit) would describe the disemboweled remains of professional credibility that the group has squandered on this sham of reform.
Lucky the voters in Massachusetts are smarter than the "experts."
lawphd -- could you be more specific on how find on CMS site.. thanks
lawphd -- could you be more specific on how find on CMS site.. thanks
Here is the site for CMS Acturial Opinions:http://www.cms.hhs.gov/ActuarialStudies/05_HealthCareReform.asp#TopOfPage
Hopefully, at least one of the academics will read them.
Here is the site for CMS Acturial Opinions:http://www.cms.hhs.gov/ActuarialStudies/05_HealthCareReform.asp#TopOfPage
Hopefully, at least one of the academics will read them.
Here is the site for CMS Acturial Opinions:http://www.cms.hhs.gov/ActuarialStudies/05_HealthCareReform.asp#TopOfPage
Hopefully, at least one of the academics will read them.
Here is the site for CMS Acturial Opinions:http://www.cms.hhs.gov/ActuarialStudies/05_HealthCareReform.asp#TopOfPage
Hopefully, at least one of the academics will read them.
What puzzles me is something simple -- every other advanced industrial nation manages to do health care with almost universal coverage and a much healthier relationship of cost to outcome.
I'll take either group of experts, but someone should explain why that is the case. With our population size, shouldn't the economies of scale play out in our favor? Shouldn't a system that covers everyone in a country of 300 million -- only a small percentage of whom will be consuming care on any given day -- should be more cost-efficient than, say, France's?
Hence either (a) the individual mandate, (b) a public option, or (c) expanding medicare to cover everyone would be indispensable for real reform.
What puzzles me is something simple -- every other advanced industrial nation manages to do health care with almost universal coverage and a much healthier relationship of cost to outcome.
I'll take either group of experts, but someone should explain why that is the case. With our population size, shouldn't the economies of scale play out in our favor? Shouldn't a system that covers everyone in a country of 300 million -- only a small percentage of whom will be consuming care on any given day -- should be more cost-efficient than, say, France's?
Hence either (a) the individual mandate, (b) a public option, or (c) expanding medicare to cover everyone would be indispensable for real reform.
Amazing how when Republicans get "elected" with a minority of the vote in 2000, and having 50 Senators, are allowed to claim a broad mandate to push through their agenda, but 58, 59 Dem. Senators and an even larger majority in the House can not enact theirs. Do elections have consequences? I supported Bush's tax cuts in 2000, not because I believed in them, but because he was the President and the Republicans had power and I thought it was time for them to be given the chance to prove their agenda. It failed, horrendously, but we now know that.
Amazing how when Republicans get "elected" with a minority of the vote in 2000, and having 50 Senators, are allowed to claim a broad mandate to push through their agenda, but 58, 59 Dem. Senators and an even larger majority in the House can not enact theirs. Do elections have consequences? I supported Bush's tax cuts in 2000, not because I believed in them, but because he was the President and the Republicans had power and I thought it was time for them to be given the chance to prove their agenda. It failed, horrendously, but we now know that.
Just a guess here ironyroad (I am not, by a long shot, one of the 47 Health Care Ronin) but perhaps it has to do with a downside of freedom in this instance. Our people are free to be massively inefficient. There is probably simple overutilization, plus the unavailability of price signals to help drive down costs, plus the fact that providers are much better-compensated here than elsewhere. And let's not forget that our health care system operates with a financing mechanism that is, in effect, an employment program run through insurance companies. I imagine that all of this factors in but I invite correction if I am misinformed.
Just a guess here ironyroad (I am not, by a long shot, one of the 47 Health Care Ronin) but perhaps it has to do with a downside of freedom in this instance. Our people are free to be massively inefficient. There is probably simple overutilization, plus the unavailability of price signals to help drive down costs, plus the fact that providers are much better-compensated here than elsewhere. And let's not forget that our health care system operates with a financing mechanism that is, in effect, an employment program run through insurance companies. I imagine that all of this factors in but I invite correction if I am misinformed.
cforeman, dead on, the beast must be fed. Which is why I think this bill is about as good as we will see.
cforeman, dead on, the beast must be fed. Which is why I think this bill is about as good as we will see.
For those interested in signing a petition from regular folks urging the same result, see this link, for a petition I created:
http://www.petition2congress.com/2/2821/house-dems-pass-senate-health-ca...
For those interested in signing a petition from regular folks urging the same result, see this link, for a petition I created:
http://www.petition2congress.com/2/2821/house-dems-pass-senate-health-ca...
I just signed it, making me the 4th person from NY to do so.
I just signed it, making me the 4th person from NY to do so.