Spurious Correlation of the Day: Rock 'n' Roll Edition

Courtesy of Barry Ritholz:

Question: Is the decline in good rock music driving the decline in oil production, or is it vice versa? Economists and aesthetes will debate this for decades, I'm afraid.

(With apologies to Felix Salmon for ripping off his "correlation of the day" franchise--all proceeds go to him.)

P.S. Another question: It says on this wiki page that the "Rolling Stone 500 Greatest Songs of All Time" list was chosen "based on votes by 172 musicians, critics, and music industry figures." If that's the case, then it occurs to me that the distribution of songs across years might always look something like this, regardless of when you plot it. That is, it may be that people--particularly insiders and elites--have a bias toward thinking the best music was made 50 years ago. So if you did another 500 greatest songs list in 2054 rather than 2004 (when this one came out), the peak might come some time this decade. (Hard to believe, I know, but just wait till you hear the schlock the kids are listening to in the 2050s...) Meanwhile, I'm guessing that peak oil production is going to stay put right where it is.

Just thought I'd highlight another layer of spuriousness in our analysis...

More Articles On: Felix Salmon

COMMENTS (2)

11/19/2009 - 9:24am EDT |

I would love to see a chart like this with cocaine production in place of oil.

11/20/2009 - 10:39am EDT |

The best rock music was 40 years ago, not 50 years ago. I suspect the 1965-1969 period will always remain the peak, for the following reason:

I suspect that the peak in perceived music quality is based on the distribution of ages in the pool of voters, and is based on when the voters were between 12 and 25 or so. As long as baby boomers make up the majority of voters, the peak in perceived music quality will remain sometime in the mid- to late 1960s.

When baby boomers stop dominating voting, then probably rock music won't seem as relevant anymore, given the rising popularity of pop, hip hop and country music . While Gen x-ers still listened to rock, they make up a smaller share of the pop ... view full comment

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